" 24.1% chance of winning against Arsenal" Munich Underdog falls
" 24.1% chance of winning against Arsenal" Munich Underdog falls
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The supercomputer used by soccer statistics company Opta put Bayern Munich in second place with 94.6% of the total, counting the team's power ranking for the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League finals.
After the draw, the odds of making it to the round of 16 reached 92.5 percent, while the odds of making it to the quarterfinals were 59.7 percent, the odds of making it to the quarterfinals were 35.3 percent, the odds of making it to the finals were 19.7 percent, and the odds of winning the championship were 10.2 percent. The odds of making it to the championship were 36.1 percent, the second highest after last season's champions Manchester City.
However, other teams besides Manchester City are also being evaluated as underdogs. According to Opta on Monday , Bayern Munich has a mere 24.1 percent chance of winning the first match against Arsenal calculated by a supercomputer.
The first match will be held on Saturday at Arsenal's home stadium, Emirates Stadium. Bayern Munich has nothing but good memories here. It has not lost in three recent Champions League knockout stage matches at Emirates Stadium. Furthermore, it won all three matches 5-1. Beginning with the 2015-16 group stage, Arsenal had a humiliating 10-2 margin in the next season's round of 16. Bayern Munich has the record of winning three consecutive Champions League matches by four goals behind the same opponent.
"But now Arsenal are a different team," Opta said, explaining the rationale behind the supercomputer's calculation.
Arsenal is currently No. 1 in the Premier League in the fourth year of Mikel Arteta's inauguration. The team scored 71 points, pushing Liverpool, which has the same number of points, to nine goals. Analysts say that this is the right time to win the title in 20 years since the 2003-04 season when the team won the title without losing any points. It is not a big hit. The team competed with Manchester City to win the title until the very end last season. Arsenal are seeking a long-term contract with Arteta.
On the other hand, Bayern Munich is in stark contrast to Bayern Munich's win. Bayern Munich is effectively lagging behind Bayer Leverkusen by 16 points after losing the 28th round match against Heidenheim. "Congratulations on Bayer Leverkusen's win," Tuchel said after losing the match 0-2 to Borussia Dortmund in the 27th round.
Contrary to Arteta, Tuchel was notified of his dismissal as his chance of winning the championship declined. He agreed to separate from Bayern Munich after the end of this season. As his performance continued without a reversal afterwards, there were many public opinions that Tuchel should be fired immediately ahead of the first leg of the quarterfinal match against Arsenal. Against continued speculation, Director Christophe Freund said Tuchel would "100% lead" the first leg.
"Ahnall is the best team in the Premier League right now. All the data shows," Tuchel told a news conference on Tuesday. "They have maintained good performance. They showed the highest level of performance over the past two seasons. It will be a huge test for us."
Tuchel then said, "We know about the strengths we have. We also know how to cause pain to them. We have gained more experience in the Champions League over the past few years. We want to use that to our advantage."
He continued, "After Arteta took over, the culture changed completely. The direction the club wanted to go with him was clear. The club is harvesting it. It was a difficult start, but the team stood by him and overcame difficult times. Tactically, they are at a very high level. When you have the ball, you are very stable. Nevertheless, we will try to be strong. The Champions League style is different from the Premier League style."
English midfielder Owen Hargreaves, who played for Bayern Munich as a player, said, "Historically, Bayern Munich was a favorite to win (against Arsenal), but it had a tricky season. If Bayern Munich wins, it will be able to make up for the season. As of now, Arsenal is the top dog by a narrow margin, but Bayern Munich, if successful, can become a dangerous underdog."
Sky Sports commentator Gary Neville said, "I hope Arsenal will beat Bayern Munich," but expressed concern, "In fact, Arsenal will likely struggle with Bayern Munich."
Meanwhile, national team defender Kim Min-jae is highly likely to start in the bench in this match. Mathias Derricht and Eric Dier started in four consecutive matches recently, and Kim Min-jae, who started in the match against Heidenheim in the previous match, was sluggish along with his partner Upamecano. "Considering that Kim Min-jae and Upamecano were sluggish in the match against Heidenheim, the center back will likely be fixed," German media Kicker said. "The two players failed to appeal to Arsenal. Therefore, Mathias Derricht and Eric Dier, who took rest yesterday, will play first as long as something unexpected does not happen."
Thomas Müller and Manuel Neuer can make history with this game. If Müller participates in this game, he will become the third player at a club to play in 150 Champions League matches, following Iker Casillas (Real Madrid) and Xavi Hernandez (Barcelona).
If Neuer records a clean sheet in this game, he will become the first goalkeeper to record 58 clean sheets in the Champions League. Currently, he is tied for first place with Gianluigi Buffon. 안전놀이터
Bayern Munich is wary of Arsenal's strong performance at home. Arsenal have not lost any of their three Champions League matches at home this season. Starting with a 4-0 win over PSV Eindhoven in the group stage, they won 2-0 against Sevilla and 6-0 against Lance, and 1-0 against FC Porto in the round of 16. While scoring 13, they did not allow a single goal.